Severe weather threat The winds in and immediately around Mebane continue to suggest they’ll be from the north during Sally’s passage
This isn’t true for other parts of NC, including parts of the triangle The picture is one model’s view of what the environment will be like very early Friday morning The line I drew (in blue), separates a muggy tropical airmass (the “oranger” colors) with dew points in the mid-upper 70s with drier, less energetically dynamic mid 60s. The blue line represents a convergence of wind & energy, where this line ends up will effect just what sort of conditions we will see, places along and to the east / southeast of this feature will have a slight to perhaps moderate risk of tornadoes At the moment this line remains south then later, east, of Mebane For those in the Triangle, stay weather aware, if a warning is issued protect yourself from the winds by going to an interior room on the lowest floor … This system moves out late Friday for a glorious fall-like weekend!
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 What’s left of hurricane Sally will be around here Thursday / Friday
It’s exact placement will define just how much rain Mebane receives Lots of variation in models makes tomorrow’s & Friday’s forecast fairly uncertain We will almost certainly be north of what’s left of Sally’s center eye, meaning north-northeasterly winds. making chances for strong to severe storms here pretty low Updates as this storm approaches our area This is an evolving event, so please keep weather aware this Thursday / Friday Much nicer conditions arrive this weekend  Rainy thunderstorms possible today followed by a damp cooler weekend as fronts dip to near the South Carolina border
Best (but not great) chance for thunderstorms over the next 3 days is late today as first of 3 fronts takes advantage of day time heating. Cooler, damp, likely cloudy (but not too wet) weekend lining up as Friday’s front lingers to our south Saturday. This front re-pivots to our southeast Sunday, bringing maybe another low-end chance of thunder mainly southeast; before a front associated with the storm that brought early snow to the Rockies pushes through Monday during the day - drying us out and putting temperatures slightly below normal Tues-Thursday under mostly sunny skies  Picture show our dew point tomorrow afternoon…
One more hot day in the 90s (with feel-like temperatures approaching 100) before a significant dry cold front overnight drops dew points from the in the low to mid 70s of the past few days into the upper 50s - as in noticeably drier and less humid conditions forecasted for tomorrow With the cold front comes cooler temperatures … highs top out in low to mid 80s over the weekend By Tuesday we should be getting close to 90 before unsettled weather looks to drop us back to the low to mid 80s later in the week… Bermuda high off the coast reasserts winds from the southeast (from the warm subtropical Atlantic) by Wednesday raising dew points back into the low-mid 70s, however temperatures won’t be as hot (upper 70s / low 80s) Possibly another cold front late next week, if so drier cooler conditions will follow it |
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