Easy to see hurricane Delta in this infrared satellite image
What impacts this storm has for us is still not clear, although it is heading north so I suggest coming back here for updates
At the moment none of the models are expecting strong winds over us through the weekend.
Models for now suggest temperatures in the mid 60s Saturday to mid to upper 70s Sunday with some rain / storms around in the afternoon
Surface dew points in the low 60s over the weekend rise a bit by Monday under winds from the southeast bringing in moisture from the Atlantic
Spring like pattern Monday / Tuesday? Hard to tell, more on this later
All of this depends on Beta’strajectory, so stay tuned
Severe weather threat
The winds in and immediately around Mebane continue to suggest they’ll be from the north during Sally’s passage
This isn’t true for other parts of NC, including parts of the triangle
The picture is one model’s view of what the environment will be like very early Friday morning
The line I drew (in blue), separates a muggy tropical airmass (the “oranger” colors) with dew points in the mid-upper 70s with drier, less energetically dynamic mid 60s.
The blue line represents a convergence of wind & energy, where this line ends up will effect just what sort of conditions we will see, places along and to the east / southeast of this feature will have a slight to perhaps moderate risk of tornadoes
At the moment this line remains south then later, east, of Mebane
For those in the Triangle, stay weather aware, if a warning is issued protect yourself from the winds by going to an interior room on the lowest floor …
This system moves out late Friday for a glorious fall-like weekend!
What’s left of hurricane Sally will be around here Thursday / Friday
It’s exact placement will define just how
much rain Mebane receives
Lots of variation in models makes tomorrow’s & Friday’s forecast fairly uncertain
We will almost certainly be north of what’s left of Sally’s center eye, meaning north-northeasterly winds. making chances for strong to severe storms here pretty low
Updates as this storm approaches our area
This is an evolving event, so please keep weather aware this Thursday / Friday
Much nicer conditions arrive this weekend
Rainy thunderstorms possible today followed by a damp cooler weekend as fronts dip to near the South Carolina border
Best (but not great) chance for thunderstorms over the next 3 days is late today as first of 3 fronts takes advantage of day time heating.
Cooler, damp, likely cloudy (but not too wet) weekend lining up as Friday’s front lingers to our south Saturday.
This front re-pivots to our southeast Sunday, bringing maybe another low-end chance of thunder mainly southeast; before a front associated with the storm that brought early snow to the Rockies pushes through Monday during the day - drying us out and putting temperatures slightly below normal Tues-Thursday under mostly sunny skies
Picture show our dew point tomorrow afternoon…
One more hot day in the 90s (with feel-like temperatures approaching 100) before a significant dry cold front overnight drops dew points from the in the low to mid 70s of the past few days into the upper 50s - as in noticeably drier and less humid conditions forecasted for tomorrow
With the cold front comes cooler temperatures … highs top out in low to mid 80s over the weekend
By Tuesday we should be getting close to 90 before unsettled weather looks to drop us back to the low to mid 80s later in the week…
Bermuda high off the coast reasserts winds from the southeast (from the warm subtropical Atlantic) by Wednesday raising dew points back into the low-mid 70s, however temperatures won’t be as hot (upper 70s / low 80s)
Possibly another cold front late next week, if so drier cooler conditions will follow it